Pages

Friday, December 17, 2010

TA - Exciting prospects for TA Enterprise

TA - Exciting prospects for TA Enterprise

Stock Name: TA
Company Name: TA ENTERPRISE BHD
Research House: HWANGDBS


TA Enterprise Bhd
(Dec 15, 77 sen)

Maintain buy at 76 sen with revised target price of RM1.25 (from RM1.30)
: The Greater KL Plan under the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) aspires to transform the city into a vibrant economic hub and place it in the Top 20 most livable cities in the world. And TA Enterprise (TAE), which owns seven acres of prime land in KL, is one of the key beneficiaries given the scarcity and rapid rise in prime land prices. TAE's plan to launch projects with potential RM2.6 billion gross development value (GDV) in the KL prime area is intact.

Average daily trading value and volume soared to RM1.5 billion (+36% quarter-on-quarter) and 1 billion (+40%), respectively, in 3Q10, and almost doubled TAE's broking income in 3QFY11. Income from hotel operations grew 84% driven by strong occupancy rates at Swissotel. However, 9MFY11 net profit of RM49 million fell short of our estimate as we were too bullish on its hotel and property divisions. Hence, we cut FY11/13F earnings per share by 26% to 42%. Our forecast for the broking division is intact, and we believe trading momentum is sustainable given the slew of structural changes taking place at Bursa Malaysia that are aimed at improving trading interest and liquidity. Bursa's year-to-date-November 2010 average daily trading value of RM1.4 billion was ahead of our CY10F assumptions of RM1.2 billion.

We reiterate our 'buy' recommendation with our sum-of-parts-based target price reduced to RM1.25. Our TP is based on a SOP value, that is earnings before interest and tax for broking based on FY12F and overall launch pipeline still intact in spite of some deferment. Consolidation in the broking industry could stir interest in TAE. It has a strong retail franchise with 7% market share of trading volume. Its current valuation is attractive at 0.8 times book value. The market is assigning zero value to its cash-generating broking business, plus a 24% discount for TA Global given its implied market cap of RM1.7 billion against TAE's RM1.3 billion. ' HwangDBS Vickers Research Sdn Bhd


Adapted: The Edge Financial Daily, December 16, 2010.

Top Glove earnings not a trend

KUALA LUMPUR: Analysts say the 44.7% decline in the earnings of Malaysia’s largest glove producer, Top Glove Corp Bhd, is not a sign of things to come for the other glove manufacturers.

According to analysts and industry players, the existing headwinds may indicate tougher times for Malaysian glove manufacturers, but not all earnings profiles are the same.The financial performance of manufacturers will hinge on their respective product mix and raw material cost structures, the analyts say. They add that based on historical numbers, Top Glove was the most affected among the six listed glove manufacturers in Malaysia due to its portfolio of mainly natural rubber or latex gloves.

“The others are less affected due to their different product mix comprising latex and nitrile gloves,” JF Apex Securities analyst Ng Keat Yung told The Edge Financial Daily yesterday.Other listed glove manufacturers in the country include Supermax Corp Bhd, Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd, Hartalega Holdings Bhd, Latexx Partners Bhd and Adventa Bhd.

Although volatility in commodity prices and the weakening US dollar will continue to impact the industry, we are optimistic that Top Glove will sustain its profitability. — Tan Sri Lim Wee ChaiAlthough Top Glove’s first quarter net profit and revenue which were released yesterday came in below analysts’ estimates, Ng said the results were not necessarily an indication of how other players will fare in the current environment of costlier latex and a weakening US dollar.“Glove players will have less bargaining power [to dictate prices] as there is no shortage of supply,” said Ng who is “underweight” on Top Glove but has a “neutral” call on others.

Demand for gloves will, however, still be there but not the “extra demand” seen during recent outbreaks of disease, Ng added.Top Glove is most exposed to the rising price of latex as some 90% of its revenue is from gloves made from latex. The other producers tend to have a larger proportion of nitrile gloves, which use synthetic rubber as their core raw material.A report by MIDF Amanah Investment Bank shows that nitrile gloves make up about 7% of Top Glove’s revenue. In contrast, nitrile glove sales make up 83% and 38% of the revenue of Hartalega and Kossan, respectively.

In a statement to Bursa Malaysia yesterday, Top Glove said its first quarter net profit fell in annual and quarterly terms as the world’s largest rubber glove producer incurred higher operating expenses. This comes against the backdrop of costlier natural rubber and a weakening US dollar which have squeezed its top and bottom lines.Its net profit declined 44.7% to RM36.05 million, or 5.83 sen a share in the quarter ended Nov 30, from RM65.21 million or 10.76 sen a share a year earlier. Operating expenses rose 16.3% while revenue was up 4.1% to RM491.5 million from RM472.3 million.

In quarterly terms, first quarter net profit fell 20% from RM45.06 million in the preceding fourth quarter while revenue was down 9.2% from RM541.39 million.“The first quarter just ended proved to be a challenging one for Top Glove. Although volatility in commodity prices, in particular latex prices, and the weakening US dollar will continue to impact the industry, we are optimistic that Top Glove will sustain its profitability,” Top Glove chairman Tan Sri Lim Wee Chai said in a statement accompanying the company’s latest numbers.The firm has a cash pile of RM346.95 milllion versus debt obligations of RM3.97 million, hence, a net cash position of RM342.98 million or 55 sen a share.

The company has an issued base of 618.3 million shares.Looking ahead, the company foresees normalisation of glove demand in the short term, but expects business to pick up in the long term. This will be helped by demand from emerging markets and the global healthcare industry.Apart from demand normalisation the manufacturer, capable of producing some 34 billion gloves annually, said the industry also had to contend with excess capacity. Another crucial concern is that buyers are opting to delay purchases and keep inventory at a minimum as they wait for glove prices to decline.“Nevertheless, this adverse situation will possibly lead to further consolidation among the industry players and Top Glove is in a good position to further enlarge its business when the opportunities arise,” the company said.

Top Glove plans to dedicate more production lines to manufacture synthetic rubber or nitrile gloves, which fetch higher margins and are not subject to the volatility in natural rubber prices. Synthetic rubber is made from butadiene, a by-product of crude oil.Top Glove’s first quarter revenue and net profit came in below JF Apex’s annualised numbers of RM2.35 billion and RM200 million, respectively, for the current financial year ending Aug 31, 2011.

Adapted: The Edge Financial Daily

Gamuda top gainer on Bursa

Construction firm Gamuda, a front runner together with joint venture partner MMC for the Klang Valley mass rapid transit project, was the top gainer at midday Friday.
The counter gained 10 sen to RM3.83 ahead of the announcement of the quarterly results later today on volume of 3.96 million shares.
MMC meanwhile added 3 sen to RM2.83. The broader market was marginally higher at 1,499.16 on some profit-taking activity.
Sozo Global Ltd chief executive officer and co-founder Shen Hengbao at the listing ceremony on Friday. Starpic by Uu Ban
There were 361 counters up, 247 were down while 266 others were traded unchanged with 583.28 million shares traded on a total value of RM743.04 million.
Sozo Global, the Shandong-based food company which debuted on the local bourse today, was 1.5 sen higher at 81.5 sen.
Unisem rose 11 sen to RM2.16 after CIMB Research in a report maintained the counter as the top pick in the technology sector while KKB gained 12 sen to RM1.99.
Glove makers were among the losers with Top Glove shedding 13 sen to RM4.99, Supermax slid 14 sen to RM4.19 and Latexx warrants losing 18 sen to RM1.92.
Panasonic fell 22 sen to RM18.80, BAT lost 10 sen to RM44.90 while DiGi was 8 sen lower at RM24.78.

Source: Star Business

Thursday, December 16, 2010

AXIATA - Secular growth trends at Axiata to continue

Stock Name: AXIATA
Company Name: AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
Research House: MAYBANK

Axiata Group Bhd
(Dec 15, RM4.68)

Maintain buy at RM4.75 with revised target price of RM5.45 (from RM5.10): We revisit our assumptions following Axiata's stellar 3Q10 results and tweak our earnings upwards to reflect the latest operating trends. We still like Axiata for its high growth pan-Asian footprint, and believe it will continue to benefit from a liquidity-induced market rally. We reiterate our 'buy' recommendation with a higher RM5.45 target price.

Robi (Bangladesh) has exhibited strong sequential earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) growth trends in recent quarters, a result of both revenue growth and margin expansion. Direct costs in particular, have been trending down. An Ebitda margin in excess of 35% (3Q10: 35.6%, 9M10: 32.3%) now appears sustainable in our view, from circa 30% previously. We expect Robi's Ebitda contribution to exceed that of Dialog (Sri Lanka) in 2011. Robi contributed 6% to group Ebitda in 3Q10.

Axiata is due to pay its maiden dividend in 2011. We still believe management has been conservative with regards to its 30% net profit payout guidance, and it has concurred that Axiata's balance sheet would still appear 'lazy' with a 30% payout. Our 50% payout assumption remains unchanged, which implies dividend yields in excess of 3.6% net at current share price.

We raise our 2010/12 earnings forecasts marginally by 2% to 4%. We value Axiata based on on sum-of-parts, with the main operating entities valued by discounted cash flow. Celcom and XL account for RM3.26 and RM1.33 per Axiata share respectively. Our target price implies 17 times 2011 price earnings ratio and 7.5 times 2011earned value/Ebitda.

With the market shaping up for a liquidity-driven rally in 2011, we favour Axiata for its high-beta characteristic. Stripping out the value of Axiata's listed subsidiaries and attributing the implied stub entirely to Celcom, the implied forward PER is an undemanding 11.7 times. ' Maybank Investment Bank Bhd Research, Dec 15


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 16, 2010.

KNM up, OSK keeps Trading Buy, TP RM2.96

COMPANY: KNM
TP by OSK: RM2.96

Shares of KNM GROUP BHD rose in early trade on Wednesday, Dec 15 with OSK Research maintaining its trading buy on the stock with a higher target price of RM2.96 from RM2.22.

At 9.45am, KNM was up 14 sen to RM2.47 while its call warrants, KNM-CE rose 1.5 sen to 16 sen with 20.12 million units done.

The FBM KLCI rose 0.31 of a point to 1,510.89. Turnover was 213.36 million shares valued at RM233.46 million. Gainers led losers 201 to 142 while 217 stocks were unchanged.

OSK Research said sentiment in the O&G industry has improved tremendously over the last few weeks with the announcement of collaborations between Malaysia and its neighbouring countries on new oilfields, as well as the dishing out of new O&G contracts and a spate of positive news.

'We are maintaining our Trading Buy call on KNM with a higher target price of RM2.96 (previously RM2.22), based on a higher PER valuation of 12x (previously 9x) FY11 EPS,' it said.

OSK Research said KNM is one of the front-runners should there be a re-rating on the share prices of O&G stocks.

'Hence our target price higher as we believe there is still upside for investors to trade on the stock. In addition, KNM recently addressed concerns over its over-liquidity by implementing a 4-into-1 share consolidation. However, note that we are keeping our Trading Buy call until we see improved earnings potential for the company going forward,' it said.

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

IJM - IJM Corp morphing into infrastructure powerhouse

Stock Name: IJM
Company Name: IJM CORPORATION BHD
Research House: AMMB

IJM Corporation Bhd
(Dec 14, RM6.20)
Maintain buy at RM6.20 with revised fair value of RM7.52 (from RM6.30): We maintain our 'buy' call on IJM Corp Bhd with a higher sum-of-parts (SOP) derived fair value of RM7.52 per share (previously: RM6.30 per share).

IJM Corp is poised to be a key beneficiary of an imminent rollout of the government's Economic Transformation Programme, with an added kicker from the proposed IJM Land-MRCB pact.

IJM Corp's exciting new contract pipeline centres on a few key areas: (i) RM43 billion Klang Valley LRT/MRT; (ii) seven new highways worth RM19 billion (for example, the West Coast Expressway or WCE); (iii) balance of works for the Pahang-Selangor water project (circa RM5 billion); (iv) several mega development proposals within Greater KL (for example PNB's 100-storey tower); and (iv) new infrastructure opportunities in India.

Near-term, an IJM Land-MRCB union provides the impetus for IJM to morph into an integrated infrastructure and property giant ' with the Emplyees Provident Fund as the major shareholder.

First, we expect IJM Corp to play a front-running role in several exciting infrastructure and development projects under the EPF's mandate, including the prized MRB land in Sungai Buloh. This is further solidified by IJM Corp's status as a premium builder of Grade-A buildings that are likely to dominate the Klang Valley skyline.

Second, it could pave the way for IJM Corp to unlock further value via a listing of its infrastructure units (including its Indian highways) and potentially elevate the group to the second largest highway operator in Malaysia after PLUS. Presently, infrastructure assets account for RM1.93 share or 26% of IJM Corp's SOP value.

Just premised on (i) a 20% controlling stake in the IJM Land-MRCB pact and (ii) a 20% stake in WCE Concession/Capex works, IJM Corp's SOP-based value is forecast to rise by 6% to RM7.95 per share along with a near tripling of its order book to RM9.4 billion.

Our FY12F/13F new contract forecasts are raised by 10% to 15% to RM2.2 billion to RM2.5 billion. Construction margins appear to have bottomed ' rising to 5.1% to 8.3% in FY11F/13F (FY10: 2.2%) as legacy jobs are due to be completed by end-FY11.

We recommend a switch away from Gamuda Bhd to IJM Corp for exposure to big-cap construction stocks, given the latter's more exciting news flow and prolific contract pipeline. According to our estimates, every RM500 million of new order book would lift its earnings by 1.4% to 5.6%.

Renewed interest from foreign shareholders, who now control circa 43% of IJM Corp against a peak of more than 60% in 2007, is another re-rating catalyst with a strengthening ringgit. ' AmResearch, Dec 14


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 15, 2010.

Reading 8 books per year ???


 The habit of reading  should be cultivated from  young by making books more accessible to children.
The habit of reading should be cultivated from young by making books more accessible to children.
ACCORDING to a report undertaken by our National Library, Malaysians are now reading eight books on average per year. It is truly heart-warming to know that their reading habit has improved.

Reading definitely is one activity to be undertaken during leisure times. Many may argue that it is difficult to find time to read. I believe the time for reading can be found.

For example, we can engage in books, magazines and newspapers while waiting for a bus, LRT or train; while waiting to get a haircut; while waiting to fetch our children from school or spouse from office, and while queuing up to pay bills. It is a conscious effort to make reading our habitual activity from young.


It is sad to note that many young ones are not reading. Instead, they are always seen fiddling with their handsets. In fact, technological developments are hampering our thirst to read. We should emulate Royal Professor Ungku Abdul Aziz Ungku Abdul Hamid and former prime minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, both of whom are avid readers.

Schools can do more to make reading a useful hobby and habit among our children. Surely parents can also lend a helping hand. One way could be by buying books for children as birthday gifts, rewarding them with books when they do well in exams and taking them to bookshops and libraries to browse or read there.

Reading is truly a gratifying and pleasant experience. Let's make reading a passion among our children so that our nation is filled with citizens reading whenever time permits them.



FOREX 4U