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Showing posts with label Bursa Target Price. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bursa Target Price. Show all posts

Friday, July 29, 2016

FIBON Berhad - A neglected quality counter

1. Company Background

FIBON Bhd is principally engaged in the business of investment holding.The principal activities are the formulation, manufacturing and sales of polymer matrix fiber composite materials and products for the Electrical, Electronic, Petrochemical and Automotive industries. It deals in manufacturing and sales of electrical insulators, electrical enclosures and meter boards. Fibon bhd is based in Johor Darul Takzim, Malaysia.




2. Financial Performance


In the current quarter ended 31 May 2016, the Group registered higher revenue of RM4,806,000 compared to previous corresponding quarter ended 31 May 2015 of RM3,511,000 as a result of both increase in manufacturing and trading sales. 

Profit before tax has increased from RM1,611,000 to RM1,810,000 as a result of higher sales and higher other income.   

Despite facing various general economic challenges, the Board of Directors of Fibon Berhad is of the opinion that the performance of the Group for the financial year ending 31 May 2017 will not be severely affected.



    3. Basic FA












    Fibon has a healthy balance sheet since listing. It never had to borrow any money as there is adequate amount of free cash flow every year. Total equity attributed to shareholders has been increasing every year . Its cash holding also increases every year.  

    In recent quarter, the cash holding is RM28.26 Million or around half of market capitalization. If we exclude the cash holding, the adjusted PE will be 5.87 instead of current 11.65. The business quality is undeniably  good with net profit margin at 31%. 

    At the price of 59.5 sen, the adjusted PE ratio is 5.87 and Enterprise value/ EBIT is trading below 5 (which is very attractive). This may be due to its small market capitalization and hence not a liquid stock. There are also not much analysts covering this company. 
    EPS : 5.11
    NTA :0.43
    PE    : 11.65
    ROE :12.08
    Net income margin: 31%
    M.Capitalization: RM58M
    EBIT         : 6.8M
    Deposit/cash : 28.26M
    Short term bank borrowing: 0
    T.Asset    : RM44.3M
    T.Liability: RM2.57
    T. Equity  :RM41.8
    Current Ratio: 25.72
    DY:1.65%
    EV: 29.7




      4. Basic TA






      After good quarter earning, we can see that buying volume is increasing (circle in above chart) with Volume EMA above average volume. Currently, for moving average, Fibon is above 20d EMA, 70d sma and 200d sma which shows bullish sign.

      For above chart, the trading price for Fibon is close to upper band which shows buyer's interest is relatively strong. Parabolic indicator also shows Fibon on uptrending trend with strong Force Index to reinforce bullish trend. 

      In conclusion, Fibon is just on early up-trending phase and there is likely further upside for its share price.

      5. Catalyst



      Electricity Demand is Growing
      According to market research firm NRG Expert, the demand of electricity is growing, hence demand for cables, insulators, transmission towers will also be growing with it. The increase in the global energy demand are encouraging the demand for electrical insulator for power transmission and distribution application. The electrical insulator market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.5% in between 2014 to 2019.

      On the local outlook, the massive development in Johor, ranging from property to massive industrial development continue to push the demand in building related components, such as cabling, piping, insulation and wiring.

      With Fibon stationed at Johor, it will stand to benefit from all these massive development. Continuation of infrastructure upgrade in Singapore will also continue to benefit Fibon.


      For recent news, FIBON Group has decided to expand into the service sector (acquisition of BEEPS), as a service platform for the exports of unregistered used vehicles from Japan to the worldwide market.

      6.  Ownership Summary

      For ownership summary, we can note that insider tightly controls 83% of total share and public shareholding less than 10%. One may wonder on why not much funds are interested in investing in  Fibon?  Small cap with low liquidity probably? 









      7. Valuation: 

      Based on EV/EBIT=8  projection:       FV= RM0.85
      (Projection is based on 10% minimum growth)



      (22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5 :RM 0.7

      TP:   RM0.78 ( from above average) 


      8. Strategy

      Based on current price (30 July 2016),

      Entry                  :RM0.595
      TP                       :RM0.78
      Stop loss          :   Below RM0.55 (with high volume)

      Potential gain  : 44%
      Potential loss  : 7.6%



      information contained herein
      Disclaimer: This is a personal weblog, reflecting my personal views and not the views of anyone or any organization, which I may be affiliated to. All information provided here, including recommendations (if any), should be treated for informational purposes only. The author should not be held liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein.



      Tuesday, May 8, 2012

      Bursa Malaysia Defensive Picks by Hong Leong Bank 2012




      Market now hit our targets as well as at the tail-end of our earlier envisaged peak in early 2Q. Thus, time to reevaluate the risk-reward profile for the next course of action.

      True to our view that the market is expected to peak in early 2Q and our analysis of risks and rewards, we believe that the tide has turned. We believe that there are limited catalysts to propel the FBM KLCI significantly above our revised year-end target of 1,580 and our earlier technical target of 1,600. However, re-emergence of uncertainties in EU coupled with concerns about slowdown in China, our fiscal position and general election as well as negative technical readings suggest that there could be more downside risks vis-a-vis potential returns.

      While we believe there are more downside risks vis-a-vis upside potential, we also believe that equity markets as a whole is not likely to revisit the fear level experienced in 2011. This is premised on higher liquidity level (after the massive injections in Dec 11) and the correction in 2011 (though seems large in quantum) was just short of the Fibonacci retracement level of 38.2% given that the market was on a slightly more than two years of rally. Coupled with recent changes to our forecasts (especially on Tenaga) and consensus forecasts, we have raised our year-end target slightly to 1,580 (based on 14x 2013 earnings) from 1,555 (13x).


      Stock NameRef DateRef PricePrice DiffLastRangeOpenChangeVolumeNote
      BSTEAD02/05/20125.23-0.045.195.17 - 5.195.20-0.0149,500
      BJTOTO02/05/20124.32-0.014.314.30 - 4.344.30+0.01131,500
      CBIP02/05/20122.84+0.263.103.06 - 3.123.100.00675,500
      CMMT02/05/20121.44+0.011.451.44 - 1.451.43+0.02100,000
      GENM02/05/20123.84-0.033.813.81 - 3.853.83-0.02151,100
      AIRPORT02/05/20125.79-0.085.715.71 - 5.725.79-0.0810,000
      MAXIS02/05/20126.12+0.016.136.12 - 6.156.14-0.01813,100
      MAYBANK02/05/20128.63+0.098.728.71 - 8.768.75-0.031,478,500
      TM02/05/20125.39+0.045.435.42 - 5.485.47-0.041,508,100
      Updated: 9 May 2012

      Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - May 2012 

      Thursday, April 26, 2012

      KWSP / EPF Top 30 Equity Investments in Bursa Malaysia, Q1 2012


      Every 3 months, since March 2010, EPF reveals its top 30 equity investments in Bursa Malaysia. The aimfor this is to promote greater transparency and to reassure members that investment undertaken are in the best interest of growing their retirement savingsand in accordance to best practices in investment and governance.
      For Q1 2012, when compared to December 2011, EPF increasing their share in Plantation companies such as United Plantation, Kuala Lumpur Kepong, IJM Plantation & IOI Corporation. Public Bank also emerged in the top 10.
      The most notable changes were UMW Holdings,  Cycle & Carriage Bintang, SP Setia and Telekom no longer under EPF Top 30 Equity Investments. Replacing the position are Public Bank, Kencana Petroleum, POS Malaysia & IOI Corporation
      The table below are the Top 30 Equity Investments in companies listed on Bursa Malaysia as of 31st March 2012.
      No.Stocks% Holdings
      1Msian Building Society Bhd65.50
      2RHB Capital Bhd44.99
      3Msian Resources Corp Bhd42.20
      4Media Prima Bhd18.52
      5Shell Refining Co. Bhd17.03
      6Public Bank Bhd16.83
      7WCT Bhd16.34
      8Digi.Com Bhd16.29
      9Dialog Group Bhd14.87
      10Genting Plantations Bhd14.52
      11Tenaga Nasional Bhd14.36
      12IJM Corporation Bhd14.35
      13United Plantations Bhd13.36
      14Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd13.29
      15Alliance Financial Group Bhd13.25
      16Petronas Chemical Group Bhd13.00
      17Star Publication (M) Bhd12.93
      18IJM Plantation Bhd12.81
      19Axis Reit Managers12.48
      20AMMB Holdings Bhd12.43
      21Sime Darby Bhd12.38
      22Petronas Gas Bhd12.21
      23Kencana Petroleum Bhd12.08
      24KPJ Healthcare Bhd12.08
      25Hong Leong Bank Bhd12.02
      26IOI Corporation Bhd11.74
      27Axiata Group Bhd11.71
      28CIMB Group Holdings Bhd11.65
      29Malayan Banking Berhad11.44
      30POS Malaysia Bhd11.38


      Source: KWSP Malaysia

      FOREX 4U